Live Dashboard

Prediction Markets,
Outperformed.

AI-powered forecasting engine that consistently beats market consensus across politics, economics, sports, and more.

See Live Predictions → View on GitHub
Prediction Accuracy
Orcetra vs Market Consensus
Market (65.3%)
Orcetra (70.2%)
70.2%+
1,974+
24/7
70.2%+
Beat Rate
Outperforming market consensus
1,974+
Predictions
Resolved and verified
89.7%
Golf
Top performing category
76.2%
Politics
Election accuracy
24/7
Monitoring
Continuous analysis

See How It Works

Watch our AI system analyze prediction markets in real-time

How It Works

Our three-step intelligence system identifies prediction opportunities through systematic market analysis

📡

Scan

Continuously monitors prediction markets for arbitrage opportunities and mispricing signals

⚖️

Calibrate

Multi-agent AI system analyzes market data, news sentiment, and historical patterns

✅

Verify

Generates calibrated predictions and tracks accuracy against resolved outcomes

Quick Start

Give it any dataset. It finds the best prediction.

$ pip install orcetra
$ orcetra predict housing.csv --target price --budget 30s
🎯 Orcetra v0.1.0
Step 1: Analyzing data... regression, 8 features
Step 2: Baselines... RF: 0.2554 ⭐
Step 3: AutoResearch loop...
#5 🎯 QuantileTransformer+GBM: 0.2324 (+9.0%!)
#18 🎯 QuantileTransformer+GBM: 0.2222 (+13.0%!)
✅ +13% improvement over baseline in 20 seconds

Why Orcetra

Superior prediction intelligence through advanced AI and systematic market analysis

vs. Prediction Markets

Markets reflect wisdom of crowds, but suffer from systematic biases like longshot overpricing and recency effects. Orcetra adds AI calibration on top, correcting these biases with data-driven analysis.

vs. Traditional Forecasting

No manual research. No expert surveys. No subjective judgment calls. Fully automated pipeline running 24/7 with transparent, verifiable results and real-time market integration.

Team

Led by experts in AI research and prediction systems

BL
Beibei Li
Chief Scientist
AI Professor at Carnegie Mellon University with expertise in machine learning and decision systems.

Faculty Profile
KZ
Kai Zhang
Researcher
Researcher focused on automated ML and prediction systems. Open-source enthusiast.
GZ
Guilin Zhang
Researcher
Building the prediction engine. Open-source contributor and ML engineer.

See It In Action

Explore our live dashboard with 1,974+ verified predictions and real-time analysis

Live Dashboard →