Prediction Markets,
Outperformed.

AI-powered forecasting engine that consistently beats market consensus across politics, economics, sports, and more.

See Live Predictions → View on GitHub

Prediction Accuracy

Orcetra vs Market Consensus

Market (65.3%)

Orcetra (70.2%)

70.2%+

1,974+

24/7

70.2%+

Beat Rate

Outperforming market consensus

1,974+

Predictions

Resolved and verified

89.7%

Golf

Top performing category

76.2%

Politics

Election accuracy

24/7

Monitoring

Continuous analysis

How It Works

Our three-step intelligence system identifies prediction opportunities through systematic market analysis

📡

Scan

Continuously monitors prediction markets for arbitrage opportunities and mispricing signals

⚖️

Calibrate

Multi-agent AI system analyzes market data, news sentiment, and historical patterns

✅

Verify

Generates calibrated predictions and tracks accuracy against resolved outcomes

Why Orcetra

Superior prediction intelligence through advanced AI and systematic market analysis

vs. Prediction Markets

Markets reflect wisdom of crowds, but suffer from systematic biases like longshot overpricing and recency effects. Orcetra adds AI calibration on top, correcting these biases with data-driven analysis.

vs. Traditional Forecasting

No manual research. No expert surveys. No subjective judgment calls. Fully automated pipeline running 24/7 with transparent, verifiable results and real-time market integration.

Team

Led by experts in AI research and prediction systems

Beibei Li

Chief Scientist

AI Professor at Carnegie Mellon University with expertise in machine learning and decision systems.

Faculty Profile

Kai Zhang

Researcher

Researcher focused on automated ML and prediction systems. Open-source enthusiast.

Guilin Zhang

Researcher

Building the prediction engine. Open-source contributor and ML engineer.

See It In Action

Explore our live dashboard with 1,974+ verified predictions and real-time analysis

Live Dashboard →

Prediction Markets, Outperformed.

See How It Works